Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Burnt Mills Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24031701505 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 7,884 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In the Burnt Mills Hills area of Burnt Mills, census tract 24031701505 scores 7.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,830 monthly, set against $106,462 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,602
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$106,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnt Mills and the region
Centroid at 39.0300, -76.9933 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnt Mills Hills scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnt Mills
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnt Mills
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnt Mills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnt Mills
6.4
How Burnt Mills Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnt Mills Hills
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burnt Mills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701505?
Census tract 24031701505 in the Burnt Mills Hills neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701505?
Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701505?
15.5% of residents in tract 24031701505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,884.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 51th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701505 considered part of Burnt Mills Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701505 fall within Burnt Mills Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701505 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701505 compare to Burnt Mills overall?
Tract 24031701505 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Burnt Mills at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnt Mills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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