Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Burnt Mills Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 24031701505 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 7,884 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
24031701505 is a census tract in the Burnt Mills Hills area of Burnt Mills, MD. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,602
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$106,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnt Mills and the region
Centroid at 39.0300, -76.9933 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnt Mills Hills scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnt Mills
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnt Mills
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnt Mills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnt Mills
6.4
How Burnt Mills Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnt Mills Hills
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. Average gross rent is $1,830, 21% below the Burnt Mills average. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,462.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701505?
Census tract 24031701505 in the Burnt Mills Hills neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701505?
Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701505?
15.5% of residents in tract 24031701505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,884.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 51th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701505 considered part of Burnt Mills Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701505 fall within Burnt Mills Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701505 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701505 compare to Burnt Mills overall?
Tract 24031701505 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Burnt Mills at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnt Mills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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