Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Shepherd Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Silver Spring
Tract 24031702502 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,565 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
For landlords sizing up Shepherd Park in Silver Spring, census tract 24031702502 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of $1/10. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,907 monthly, set against $86,083 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$86,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Silver Spring and the region
Centroid at 38.9880, -77.0248 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shepherd Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Silver Spring
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,907 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.5
How Shepherd Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shepherd Park
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031702502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031702502?
Census tract 24031702502 in the Shepherd Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031702502?
Median gross rent is $1,907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031702502?
11.4% of residents in tract 24031702502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,565.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031702502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 25th, minority 79th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 24031702502 considered part of Shepherd Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031702502 fall within Shepherd Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031702502 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031702502 compare to Silver Spring overall?
Tract 24031702502 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Silver Spring at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Silver Spring
Top eight tracts in Silver Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Kilmarock
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Oakview
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Northwest Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Browns Corner
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Montgomery Knolls
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Goodacre Knolls
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Queen Annes
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Blair Circle
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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