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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Rock Creek Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Kensington

Tract 24031704100 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,848 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 24031704100 covers part of the Rock Creek Hills area of South Kensington, MD, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,848. 63% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 3% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$210,329

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rock Creek Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Kensington
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#163 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#741 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Kensington and the region

Centroid at 39.0170, -77.0746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rock Creek Hills scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Kensington
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Kensington
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Kensington
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Kensington
6.1

How Rock Creek Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rock Creek Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 7041006.1South Kensingtonparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rock Creek Hills

Cost burden runs 75% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.2/10. Food insecurity runs 5.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031704100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704100?

Census tract 24031704100 in the Rock Creek Hills neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031704100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704100?

4.5% of residents in tract 24031704100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,848.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 52th, minority 32th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 24031704100 considered part of Rock Creek Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704100 fall within Rock Creek Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031704100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031704100 compare to South Kensington overall?

Tract 24031704100 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of South Kensington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Kensington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Kensington

Top eight tracts in South Kensington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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