Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Brookdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda
Tract 24031705602 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,050 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Brookdale neighborhood of Bethesda, census tract 24031705602 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,668 a month while the average household earns $125,496 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,467
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$125,496
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9644, -77.0908 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brookdale scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,668 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
3.8
How Brookdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brookdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 9.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brookdale
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031705602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705602?
Census tract 24031705602 in the Brookdale neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031705602?
Median gross rent is $2,668/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705602?
8.9% of residents in tract 24031705602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,050.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 47th, minority 45th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 24031705602 considered part of Brookdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705602 fall within Brookdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031705602 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031705602 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031705602 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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