Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Greater Capitol Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24033802803 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 5,853 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 24033802803 covers part of the Greater Capitol Heights area of Walker Mill, MD, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,853 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,371
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$98,353
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitol Heights and the region
Centroid at 38.8739, -76.9055 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greater Capitol Heights scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitol Heights
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitol Heights
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitol Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitol Heights
6.3
How Greater Capitol Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,044Total filings over 4 yrs
- 59.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 78.8%Peak (2011)
- 447Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greater Capitol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 22.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greater Capitol Heights
Cost burden runs 66% here against 45.6% across Prince George's County. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,044 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 78.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 59.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Prince George's County average of 4.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,566, close to the Walker Mill average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802803?
Census tract 24033802803 in the Greater Capitol Heights neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802803?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802803?
15.0% of residents in tract 24033802803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,853.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802803 considered part of Greater Capitol Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802803 fall within Greater Capitol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,044 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.57% of renter households, peaking at 78.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802803 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802803 compare to Capitol Heights overall?
Tract 24033802803 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Capitol Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitol Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitol Heights
Top eight tracts in Capitol Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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