Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Penn-Fallsway Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510100300 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,999 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 24510100300 in the Penn-Fallsway area of Baltimore, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2995, -76.6091 · click any tract to drill in

Why Penn-Fallsway scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baltimore

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.8

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

this tract poverty rate

3.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baltimore

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baltimore

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baltimore

6.0

How Penn-Fallsway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

42.9%Housing insecurity
30.7%Utility-shutoff threat
53.5%Food insecurity
54.2%SNAP enrollment
28.6%Transit barriers
23.6%No health insurance
25.1%Frequent mental distress
44.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Penn-Fallsway

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.

Disability prevalence runs 44.6% against 31.5% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510100300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510100300?

Census tract 24510100300 in the Penn-Fallsway neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510100300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 88th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 24510100300 considered part of Penn-Fallsway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510100300 fall within Penn-Fallsway (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24510100300 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24510100300 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510100300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24510100300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.