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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Park Circle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510151200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,260 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 24510151200, in Park Circle in Baltimore eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,260. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $543 monthly, set against $36,899 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,554
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$36,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Park Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3310, -76.6599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Circle scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$543 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Park Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 151200Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Circle

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510151200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510151200?

Census tract 24510151200 in the Park Circle neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510151200?

Median gross rent is $543/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510151200?

23.8% of residents in tract 24510151200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,260.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510151200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 62th, minority 94th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 24510151200 considered part of Park Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510151200 fall within Park Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510151200 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510151200 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510151200 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510151200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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