Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Josephs Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510200702 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,224 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Saint Josephs neighborhood of Baltimore, census tract 24510200702 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,303 a month while the average household earns $50,244 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units516
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$50,244
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2847, -76.6756 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Josephs scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,303 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Saint Josephs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.0%Housing insecurity
- 25.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.5%Food insecurity
- 48.5%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 45.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Josephs
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510200702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510200702?
Census tract 24510200702 in the Saint Josephs neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510200702?
Median gross rent is $1,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510200702?
23.5% of residents in tract 24510200702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,224.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510200702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 70th, minority 95th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 24510200702 considered part of Saint Josephs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510200702 fall within Saint Josephs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510200702 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510200702 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510200702 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510200702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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