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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Mid-Govans Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510270805 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 5,676 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24510270805 belongs to Mid-Govans in Baltimore, Maryland. It is home to 5,676 residents and scores 6.8/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,440 a month while the average household earns $74,375 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$74,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mid-Govans
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#165 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#269 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3596, -76.6034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mid-Govans scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Mid-Govans compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mid-Govans risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 270805Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mid-Govans

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510270805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510270805?

Census tract 24510270805 in the Mid-Govans neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510270805?

Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510270805?

6.9% of residents in tract 24510270805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,676.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510270805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 82th, minority 93th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 24510270805 considered part of Mid-Govans?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510270805 fall within Mid-Govans (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510270805 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510270805 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510270805 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510270805 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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