Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Mid-Govans Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510270805 ·
Baltimore city, MD · pop 5,676 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24510270805 covers part of the Mid-Govans area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,676 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 15%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$74,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mid-Govans
Moderate
Within parent city
17th percentile
#166 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#192 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
48th percentile
#766 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3596, -76.6034 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mid-Govans scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Mid-Govans compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
32%Grade B
3%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
21.3%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
20.9%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mid-Govans
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.
Average gross rent is $1,440, 8% above the Baltimore average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,375.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510270805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510270805?
Census tract 24510270805 in the Mid-Govans neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510270805?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510270805?
6.9% of residents in tract 24510270805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510270805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 82th, minority 93th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 24510270805 considered part of Mid-Govans?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510270805 fall within Mid-Govans (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510270805 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510270805 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510270805 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510270805 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.