Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Forestdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25001013600 · Barnstable County, MA · pop 6,258 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Forestdale
Census tract 25001013600 covers part of Forestdale, MA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,258 residents. Cost burden runs 32% here against 48.4% across Barnstable County.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,252
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$104,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestdale and the region
Centroid at 41.7038, -70.4903 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestdale scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestdale
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestdale
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestdale
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestdale
4.5
How Forestdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestdale
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. At $1,706 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Forestdale commands.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Barnstable County average of 4.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 2 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25001013600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25001013600?
Census tract 25001013600 in Forestdale scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25001013600?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25001013600?
4.2% of residents in tract 25001013600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,258.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25001013600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 45th, minority 9th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25001013600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 25001013600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.79% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25001013600 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25001013600 compare to Forestdale overall?
Tract 25001013600 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Forestdale at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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