Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Marblehead Neck Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25009203200 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,586 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 25009203200 covers part of the Marblehead Neck area of Marblehead, MA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 3.0 points.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,848
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$177,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Marblehead and the region
Centroid at 42.5038, -70.8329 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marblehead Neck scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Marblehead
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,852 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marblehead
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marblehead
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marblehead
4.4
How Marblehead Neck compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marblehead Neck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 2.1%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marblehead Neck
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Cost burden runs 40% here against 50.7% across Essex County.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $177,031, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009203200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009203200?
Census tract 25009203200 in the Marblehead Neck neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009203200?
Median gross rent is $1,852/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009203200?
3.9% of residents in tract 25009203200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009203200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 38th, minority 15th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 25009203200 considered part of Marblehead Neck?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009203200 fall within Marblehead Neck (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009203200 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009203200 compare to Marblehead overall?
Tract 25009203200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Marblehead at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marblehead; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Marblehead
Top eight tracts in Marblehead ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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