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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Aspinwall Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Brookline

Tract 25021400500 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 5,216 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 25021400500 covers part of the Aspinwall Hill area of Brookline, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Norfolk County average of 48.1%.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 50% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,582
Renter share70.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$158,169

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Aspinwall Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 15 tracts In Brookline
Moderate
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brookline and the region

Centroid at 42.3374, -71.1310 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspinwall Hill scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brookline
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,977 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brookline
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brookline
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brookline
5.5

How Aspinwall Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aspinwall Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 4005007.1Brooklineparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspinwall Hill

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points above the Norfolk County average of 5.6. SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brookline. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021400500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021400500?

Census tract 25021400500 in the Aspinwall Hill neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021400500?

Median gross rent is $2,977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021400500?

7.1% of residents in tract 25021400500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,216.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021400500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 2th, minority 38th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 25021400500 considered part of Aspinwall Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021400500 fall within Aspinwall Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25021400500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25021400500 compare to Brookline overall?

Tract 25021400500 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Brookline at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brookline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25021400500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brookline

Top eight tracts in Brookline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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