Neighborhood · Ranked #31,898 of 84,120 nationally

Norfolk Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Quincy

Tract 25021417501 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 5,512 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25021417501 (the Norfolk Downs area of Quincy, Massachusetts) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,148 a month against an average household income of $99,800 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 23% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units2,060

Renter share40.1%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$99,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Quincy and the region

Centroid at 42.2798, -71.0160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Norfolk Downs scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Quincy

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,148 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Quincy

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Quincy

9.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Quincy

5.8

How Norfolk Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
94%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
14.5%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Norfolk Downs

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Quincy eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021417501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021417501?

Census tract 25021417501 in the Norfolk Downs neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25021417501?

Median gross rent is $2,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021417501?

8.1% of residents in tract 25021417501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,512.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021417501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 53th, minority 66th, housing 50th.

Is tract 25021417501 considered part of Norfolk Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021417501 fall within Norfolk Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25021417501 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25021417501 compare to Quincy overall?

Tract 25021417501 scores 5.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Quincy at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Quincy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25021417501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Quincy

Top eight tracts in Quincy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.