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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Norfolk Downs Eviction Risk: Elevated , Quincy

Tract 25021417501 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 5,512 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 25021417501 sits in the Norfolk Downs area of Quincy eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. It is home to 5,512 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 23% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,060
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$99,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Norfolk Downs
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 23 tracts In Quincy
Moderate
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
Very High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#377 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Quincy and the region

Centroid at 42.2798, -71.0160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Norfolk Downs scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Quincy
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,148 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Quincy
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Quincy
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Quincy
5.8

How Norfolk Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Norfolk Downs risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 4175017.1Quincyparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Norfolk Downs

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Norfolk County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. Against Norfolk County at 48.1%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Quincy. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,148, close to the Quincy average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $99,800. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021417501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021417501?

Census tract 25021417501 in the Norfolk Downs neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021417501?

Median gross rent is $2,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021417501?

8.1% of residents in tract 25021417501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,512.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021417501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 53th, minority 66th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 25021417501 considered part of Norfolk Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021417501 fall within Norfolk Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25021417501 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25021417501 compare to Quincy overall?

Tract 25021417501 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Quincy at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Quincy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25021417501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Quincy

Top eight tracts in Quincy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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