Brockton Eviction Risk: High

Against the Plymouth County average of 5.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. SNAP participation runs 38.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $54,292, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 32.0% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

Court records carry 82 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 8.0% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brockton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.