Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Lawton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 26159011004 ·
Van Buren County, MI · pop 3,842 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Lawton
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 26159011004 (Lawton, Michigan) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $877 a month against an average household income of $76,190 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 16%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,576
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$76,190
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lawton
Moderate
Within county
48th percentile
#12 of 22 tracts In Van Buren County
Moderate
Within state
73th percentile
#814 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Elevated
National
63th percentile
#31,159 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lawton and the region
Centroid at 42.1825, -85.8571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lawton scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lawton
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawton
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawton
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawton
7.8
How Lawton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.8%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
14.5%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lawton
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lawton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Van Buren County average of 5.7 and in line with the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 26159011004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26159011004?
Census tract 26159011004 in Lawton scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26159011004?
Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26159011004?
12.0% of residents in tract 26159011004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,842.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26159011004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 91th, minority 26th, housing 83th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 26159011004 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 26159011004 compare to Lawton overall?
Tract 26159011004 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lawton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.