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Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27003050115 · Anoka County, MN · pop 5,783

Census tract 27003050115 covers Oak Grove in Anoka County, home to 5,783 residents. For landlords it grades 5.1/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,201 a month against an average household income of $117,614 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$117,614

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Oak Grove
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#70 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#1,319 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region

Centroid at 45.3423, -93.3069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,201 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
3.8

How Oak Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 050115Oak Grove: 4.94.9Oak Groveparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 57Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 23.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 38.2%Peak (2009)
  • 8Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030501152009: 22 filings (38.23/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (14.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (25.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (14.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Grove, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anoka County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 23.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 38.2% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003050115

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050115?

Census tract 27003050115 in Oak Grove scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003050115?

Median gross rent is $2,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050115?

0.7% of residents in tract 27003050115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,783.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 18th, minority 18th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050115?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.03% of renter households, peaking at 38.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27003050115 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27003050115 compare to Oak Grove overall?

Tract 27003050115 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove

Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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