Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Circle Pines Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27003050902 ·
Anoka County, MN · pop 4,996
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 27003050902 in Circle Pines, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,996 residents. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Anoka County average of 43.4%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 8%Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,011
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$96,477
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Circle Pines
Moderate
Within county
47th percentile
#48 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Moderate
Within state
46th percentile
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
40th percentile
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Circle Pines and the region
Centroid at 45.1437, -93.1475 · click any tract to drill in
Why Circle Pines scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Circle Pines
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,337 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Circle Pines
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Circle Pines
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Circle Pines
5.4
How Circle Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
20%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Circle Pines
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 52 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.
At $1,337 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Circle Pines commands. Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050902?
Census tract 27003050902 in Circle Pines scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050902?
Median gross rent is $1,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050902?
4.9% of residents in tract 27003050902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 31th, minority 17th, housing 17th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.34% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27003050902 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27003050902 compare to Circle Pines overall?
Tract 27003050902 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Circle Pines at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Circle Pines; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.