Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Aquila Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022302 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
27053022302 is a census tract in the Aquila area of St. Louis Park, MN. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,745 residents. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$63,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9431, -93.3864 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aquila scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Aquila compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 181Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2009)
- 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 160Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aquila
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The dominant input is local political climate at 7.4/10. At $1,300 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of St. Louis Park commands.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 181 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 9.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Hennepin County average of 5.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $63,125.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022302?
Census tract 27053022302 in the Aquila neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022302?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022302?
28.3% of residents in tract 27053022302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 62th, minority 61th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022302 considered part of Aquila?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022302 fall within Aquila (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 181 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053022302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.14% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022302 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022302 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Blackstone
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Triangle
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Pennsylvania Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Birchwood
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Minnehaha
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Wolfe Park
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Eliot
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Bronx Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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