Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Birchwood Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022700 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,815 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
27053022700 is a census tract in the Birchwood area of St. Louis Park, MN. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,815 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 23%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,825
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$102,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Birchwood
Moderate
Within parent city
71th percentile
#5 of 15 tracts In St. Louis Park
Elevated
Within county
37th percentile
#207 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Low
Within state
46th percentile
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9512, -93.3526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birchwood scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Birchwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
21%Socioeconomic
28%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
116Total filings over 5 yrs
3.73%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak (2009)
24Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
175Total filings 2020-21
2.3Avg monthly (observed)
1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.6%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birchwood
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Average gross rent is $1,358, 17% below the St. Louis Park average. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Cost burden runs 38% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 116 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2009, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022700?
Census tract 27053022700 in the Birchwood neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022700?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022700?
8.7% of residents in tract 27053022700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 28th, minority 49th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022700 considered part of Birchwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022700 fall within Birchwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053022700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022700 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022700 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022700 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.