Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Birchwood Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,815 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 27053022700 runs through the Birchwood area of St. Louis Park. With 3,815 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,358 a month against an average household income of $102,292 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,825
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$102,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9512, -93.3526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birchwood scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Birchwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2009)
- 24Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 175Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birchwood
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.82x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022700?
Census tract 27053022700 in the Birchwood neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022700?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022700?
8.7% of residents in tract 27053022700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 28th, minority 49th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022700 considered part of Birchwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022700 fall within Birchwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053022700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022700 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022700 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022700 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Aquila
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Blackstone
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Triangle
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Pennsylvania Park
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Minnehaha
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Wolfe Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Eliot
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Bronx Park
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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