Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Grove Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Plymouth
Tract 27053026605 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,102 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
27053026605 is a census tract in the Walnut Grove Pond area of Plymouth, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,102 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$156,272
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Plymouth and the region
Centroid at 45.0238, -93.5134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Grove Pond scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Plymouth
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,125 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plymouth
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plymouth
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plymouth
3.6
How Walnut Grove Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.8%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Grove Pond
Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points. The voucher gap is 26.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Cost burden runs 35% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $2,125, 20% above the Plymouth average.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2010, when 0.8% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026605?
Census tract 27053026605 in the Walnut Grove Pond neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026605?
Median gross rent is $2,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026605?
3.4% of residents in tract 27053026605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,102.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 66th, minority 35th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026605 considered part of Walnut Grove Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026605 fall within Walnut Grove Pond (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053026605?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 27053026605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.83% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026605 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053026605 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053026605 compare to Plymouth overall?
Tract 27053026605 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Plymouth at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plymouth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Plymouth
Top eight tracts in Plymouth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026511
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026510
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026515
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026514
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026507
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Orchard of Plymouth
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026516
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026606
3
/ 10 · Low
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