Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard of Plymouth Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27053026611 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,845 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 27053026611 sits in the Orchard of Plymouth eviction risk area of Plymouth eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 4,845 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,342
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$91,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Plymouth and the region
Centroid at 45.0175, -93.4852 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard of Plymouth scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Plymouth
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,523 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plymouth
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plymouth
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plymouth
3.6
How Orchard of Plymouth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2010)
- 14Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard of Plymouth
Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. It sits 1.6 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 filings here across 5 tracked years.
At $1,523 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Plymouth commands. The worst year on record was 2010, when 2.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026611?
Census tract 27053026611 in the Orchard of Plymouth neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026611?
Median gross rent is $1,523/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026611?
2.6% of residents in tract 27053026611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,845.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 37th, minority 40th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026611 considered part of Orchard of Plymouth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026611 fall within Orchard of Plymouth (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053026611?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053026611 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.25% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026611 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053026611 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053026611 compare to Plymouth overall?
Tract 27053026611 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Plymouth at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plymouth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Plymouth
Top eight tracts in Plymouth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026511
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026510
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026515
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026514
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026507
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026516
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Walnut Grove Pond
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026606
3
/ 10 · Low
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