Tract 27053104002 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,550 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.9/10, tract 27053104002 in the Mid-City Industrial area of Minneapolis, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,550. It sits 2.8 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%Stable renters 54%Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share83.3%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$97,628
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mid-City Industrial
Moderate
Within parent city
58th percentile
#51 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
85th percentile
#50 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
97th percentile
#48 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9950, -93.2224 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mid-City Industrial scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Mid-City Industrial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
50%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
97Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly (observed)
1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
1.28×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.0%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mid-City Industrial
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $97,628, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,397, close to the Minneapolis average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053104002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053104002?
Census tract 27053104002 in the Mid-City Industrial neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053104002?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053104002?
22.0% of residents in tract 27053104002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053104002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 1th, minority 50th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 27053104002 considered part of Mid-City Industrial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053104002 fall within Mid-City Industrial (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053104002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053104002 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053104002 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053104002 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27053104002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.