Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
North Saint Anthony Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123030100 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,833 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
27123030100 is a census tract in the North Saint Anthony Park area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,833. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,939
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$93,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9809, -93.1922 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Saint Anthony Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,211 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How North Saint Anthony Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2010)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 88Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Saint Anthony Park
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions over 7 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2010 at 0.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123030100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030100?
Census tract 27123030100 in the North Saint Anthony Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123030100?
Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030100?
4.7% of residents in tract 27123030100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,833.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 9th, minority 32th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 27123030100 considered part of North Saint Anthony Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030100 fall within North Saint Anthony Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.55% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123030100 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123030100 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123030100 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123030100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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