Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Merriam Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123035000 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,625 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 27123035000 covers part of the Merriam Park area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,224
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$102,045
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9441, -93.1751 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merriam Park scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Merriam Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 48%Grade A
- 52%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2014)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Merriam Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Merriam Park
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $102,045, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123035000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035000?
Census tract 27123035000 in the Merriam Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123035000?
Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035000?
7.4% of residents in tract 27123035000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,625.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 7th, minority 17th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 27123035000 considered part of Merriam Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035000 fall within Merriam Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.78% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123035000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123035000 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123035000 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123035000 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123035000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
North End
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Eastview
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
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