Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Pig's Eye Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123036100 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 1,930 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
27123036100 is a census tract in the Pig's Eye area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,930 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units499
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$72,530
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9349, -93.0612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pig's Eye scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,038 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Pig's Eye compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 133Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2012)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 144Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.7%Food insecurity
- 28.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pig's Eye
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.4/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6.
The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. SNAP participation runs 28.5% against 15.2% nationally.
At $1,038 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. Housing insecurity runs 24.5% against 14.2% nationally. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 133 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.4% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123036100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036100?
Census tract 27123036100 in the Pig's Eye neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123036100?
Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036100?
37.6% of residents in tract 27123036100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,930.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 27123036100 considered part of Pig's Eye?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036100 fall within Pig's Eye (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123036100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.94% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123036100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123036100 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123036100 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123036100 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123036100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highland
7.9
/ 10 · High
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