Census Tract · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Shoreview Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040707 ·
Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,625
Shoreview anchors census tract 27123040707, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 88% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,975 monthly, set against $113,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 1%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,880
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$113,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
40th percentile
#4 of 6 tracts In Shoreview
Moderate
Within county
5th percentile
#136 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
19th percentile
#1,218 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
9th percentile
#76,223 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shoreview and the region
Centroid at 45.1005, -93.1449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shoreview scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shoreview
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,975 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shoreview
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shoreview
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shoreview
5.0
How Shoreview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
9%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
28Total filings over 7 yrs
1.98%Avg annual filing rate
3.3%Peak (2012)
2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2015
Filings dropped 33% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
11Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.9%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shoreview
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shoreview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040707?
Census tract 27123040707 in Shoreview scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040707?
Median gross rent is $1,975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040707?
7.0% of residents in tract 27123040707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,625.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 71th, minority 18th, housing 22th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123040707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.98% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040707 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123040707 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123040707 compare to Shoreview overall?
Tract 27123040707 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Shoreview at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shoreview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shoreview
Top eight tracts in Shoreview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.