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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Waite Park Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123041103 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,659 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 27123041103 covers Waite Park in Ramsey in Minnesota. Home to 3,659 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,380 a month against an average household income of $74,750 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 34% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,748
Renter share67.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$74,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waite Park
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In city
Very High
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#790 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ramsey County and the region

Centroid at 45.0410, -93.2211 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waite Park scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Waite Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waite Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 041103County: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 99Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2014)
  • 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271230411032009: 17 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 202Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.26×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (2.90× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (3.62× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (2.68× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (7.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-06-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (2.83× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (4.46× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (2.90× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 12 filings (5.66× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (5.80× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (4.46× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waite Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Minnesota eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123041103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041103?

Census tract 27123041103 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123041103?

Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041103?

6.3% of residents in tract 27123041103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 60th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 27123041103 considered part of Waite Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123041103 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.38% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123041103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123041103 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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