Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041103 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,659 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 27123041103 in the Waite Park area of Ramsey County, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,659. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,748
Renter share67.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$74,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ramsey County and the region
Centroid at 45.0410, -93.2211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waite Park scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Waite Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2014)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 202Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waite Park
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.4 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 99 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent runs $1,380 a month.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $74,750.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041103?
Census tract 27123041103 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041103?
Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041103?
6.3% of residents in tract 27123041103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,659.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 60th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 27123041103 considered part of Waite Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123041103 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.38% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123041103 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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