Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Mid-City Industrial Eviction Risk: Lower , Lauderdale
Tract 27123042002 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,454 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 27123042002 covers the Mid-City Industrial area of Lauderdale, home to 2,454 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,358 monthly, set against $76,558 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,210
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$76,558
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lauderdale and the region
Centroid at 44.9944, -93.2031 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mid-City Industrial scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lauderdale
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lauderdale
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lauderdale
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lauderdale
4.6
How Mid-City Industrial compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2009)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mid-City Industrial
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lauderdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 43 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.1% of renter households in 2009.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042002?
Census tract 27123042002 in the Mid-City Industrial neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042002?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042002?
5.6% of residents in tract 27123042002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 30th, minority 52th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 27123042002 considered part of Mid-City Industrial?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123042002 fall within Mid-City Industrial (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.03% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123042002 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123042002 compare to Lauderdale overall?
Tract 27123042002 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lauderdale at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lauderdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123042002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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