Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Echo Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Mahtomedi
Tract 27163070303 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,978 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 27163070303 in Echo Lake in Mahtomedi ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,978 residents. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,755 monthly, set against $127,135 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$127,135
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mahtomedi and the region
Centroid at 45.0422, -92.9770 · click any tract to drill in
Why Echo Lake scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mahtomedi
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,755 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mahtomedi
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mahtomedi
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mahtomedi
6.1
How Echo Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Echo Lake
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mahtomedi, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070303?
Census tract 27163070303 in the Echo Lake neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070303?
Median gross rent is $1,755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070303?
2.5% of residents in tract 27163070303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,978.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 55th, minority 19th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 27163070303 considered part of Echo Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070303 fall within Echo Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.76% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27163070303 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27163070303 compare to Mahtomedi overall?
Tract 27163070303 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Mahtomedi at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mahtomedi; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mahtomedi
Top eight tracts in Mahtomedi ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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