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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Carver Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Woodbury

Tract 27163071012 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,793 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 27163071012, home to 4,793 residents in the Carver Ridge neighborhood of Woodbury, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,912 a month while the average household earns $92,589 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 24% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,297
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$92,589

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carver Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Woodbury
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 59 tracts In Washington County
High
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,090 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodbury and the region

Centroid at 44.8989, -92.9767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carver Ridge scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Woodbury
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,912 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbury
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbury
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbury
4.0

How Carver Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carver Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 071012Woodbury: 4.74.7Woodburyparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 117Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2012)
  • 48Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271630710122010: 38 filings (5.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 48 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carver Ridge

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodbury eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2012.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163071012

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071012?

Census tract 27163071012 in the Carver Ridge neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163071012?

Median gross rent is $1,912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071012?

8.5% of residents in tract 27163071012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,793.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 40th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 27163071012 considered part of Carver Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163071012 fall within Carver Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071012?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071012 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27163071012 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27163071012 compare to Woodbury overall?

Tract 27163071012 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbury at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbury eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Woodbury

Top eight tracts in Woodbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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