Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
St. Paul Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27163071300 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,478
Tract 27163071300 sits in St. Paul Park, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 5,478 residents. Cost burden runs 18% here against 44.0% across Washington County.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,212
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$98,690
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul Park and the region
Centroid at 44.8401, -92.9952 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Paul Park scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul Park
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,118 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul Park
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul Park
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul Park
4.2
How St. Paul Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 95Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2011)
- 25Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Paul Park
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. The voucher gap is 25.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 95 filings here across 3 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 9.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071300?
Census tract 27163071300 in St. Paul Park scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071300?
Median gross rent is $2,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071300?
5.4% of residents in tract 27163071300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,478.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 53th, minority 40th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 95 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.53% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071300 compare to St. Paul Park overall?
Tract 27163071300 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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