Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
St. Paul Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071300 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,478
St. Paul Park in Washington County anchors census tract 27163071300, which lands at 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 16% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 18% of renter households, a modest level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,118 monthly, set against $98,690 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,212
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$98,690
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul Park and the region
Centroid at 44.8401, -92.9952 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Paul Park scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul Park
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,118 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul Park
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul Park
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul Park
4.2
How St. Paul Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 95Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2011)
- 25Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Paul Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Washington County average of 5.1 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071300?
Census tract 27163071300 in St. Paul Park scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071300?
Median gross rent is $2,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071300?
5.4% of residents in tract 27163071300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,478.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 53th, minority 40th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 95 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.53% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071300 compare to St. Paul Park overall?
Tract 27163071300 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul Park at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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