Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Carterville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petal
Tract 28035010400 · Forrest County, MS · pop 4,651 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Carterville neighborhood of Petal anchors census tract 28035010400, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #54,673 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $933 a month against an average household income of $51,128 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,507
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$51,128
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petal and the region
Centroid at 31.3255, -89.2461 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carterville scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petal
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petal
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petal
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petal
5.1
How Carterville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.0%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carterville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petal eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Forrest County average of 4.3 and in line with the Mississippi statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 28035010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28035010400?
Census tract 28035010400 in the Carterville neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 28035010400?
Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 28035010400?
16.2% of residents in tract 28035010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 28035010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 86th, minority 48th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 28035010400 considered part of Carterville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 28035010400 fall within Carterville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 28035010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 28035010400 compare to Petal overall?
Tract 28035010400 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Petal at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petal
Top eight tracts in Petal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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