Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Oran Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29201780300 · Scott County, MO · pop 2,555 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Oran
Tract 29201780300, home to 2,555 residents in Oran in Scott County, scores 4.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 14% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $807 a month while the average household earns $64,964 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$64,964
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oran and the region
Centroid at 37.0859, -89.7053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oran scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oran
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$807 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oran
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oran
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oran
4.9
How Oran compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 11 yrs
- 0.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.8%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oran
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oran, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Scott County average of 4.5 and below the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29201780300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29201780300?
Census tract 29201780300 in Oran scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29201780300?
Median gross rent is $807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29201780300?
11.9% of residents in tract 29201780300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,555.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29201780300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 71th, minority 10th, housing 55th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29201780300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29201780300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.95% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29201780300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29201780300 compare to Oran overall?
Tract 29201780300 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Oran at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oran; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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