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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Durham Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 33017080202 · Strafford County, NH · pop 2,119 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

33017080202 is a census tract in the Durham Historic District area of Durham, NH. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,119. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 16% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units944
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$120,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Durham Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Durham
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 30 tracts In Strafford County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#284 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 43.1406, -70.8937 · click any tract to drill in

Why Durham Historic District scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,006 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
7.9

How Durham Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Durham Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0802024.3Durhamparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Durham Historic District

Average gross rent is $2,006, 54% above the Durham average. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Against Strafford County at 44.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.0 points below the Strafford County average of 4.1. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 33017080202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33017080202?

Census tract 33017080202 in the Durham Historic District neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33017080202?

Median gross rent is $2,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33017080202?

4.5% of residents in tract 33017080202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,119.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33017080202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 69th, minority 8th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 33017080202 considered part of Durham Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33017080202 fall within Durham Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33017080202 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33017080202 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 33017080202 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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