Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Durham Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 33017080202 ·
Strafford County, NH · pop 2,119 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
33017080202 is a census tract in the Durham Historic District area of Durham, NH. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,119. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 16%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units944
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$120,682
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Durham Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Durham
Very Low
Within county
14th percentile
#26 of 30 tracts In Strafford County
Very Low
Within state
19th percentile
#284 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 43.1406, -70.8937 · click any tract to drill in
Why Durham Historic District scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,006 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
7.9
How Durham Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
9%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.6%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
5.1%Food insecurity
2.8%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Durham Historic District
Average gross rent is $2,006, 54% above the Durham average. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Against Strafford County at 44.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 1.0 points below the Strafford County average of 4.1. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 33017080202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33017080202?
Census tract 33017080202 in the Durham Historic District neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 33017080202?
Median gross rent is $2,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 33017080202?
4.5% of residents in tract 33017080202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,119.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 33017080202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 69th, minority 8th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 33017080202 considered part of Durham Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33017080202 fall within Durham Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 33017080202 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 33017080202 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 33017080202 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.