Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Seagrove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34009021001 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 2,199 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 34009021001 in the Seagrove area of Cape May County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cape May County average of 43.6%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units853
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$93,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cape May County and the region
Centroid at 39.1187, -74.7673 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seagrove scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Seagrove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2017)
- 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seagrove
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 28 filings here across 4 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2017, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021001?
Census tract 34009021001 in the Seagrove neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021001?
Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021001?
9.1% of residents in tract 34009021001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,199.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 13th, minority 29th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021001 considered part of Seagrove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021001 fall within Seagrove (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021001?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021001 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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