Laguna Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cape May Court House
Tract 34009021100 ·
Cape May County, NJ · pop 5,557 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
How risky is the Laguna Oaks area of Cape May Court House for landlords? Census tract 34009021100 scores 7.1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #3,732 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,389 a month against an average household income of $74,503 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 14%Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$74,503
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Laguna Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Cape May Court House
Moderate
Within county
87th percentile
#5 of 32 tracts In Cape May County
High
Within state
78th percentile
#475 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cape May Court House and the region
Centroid at 39.0792, -74.8225 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laguna Oaks scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cape May Court House
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cape May Court House
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cape May Court House
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cape May Court House
8.3
How Laguna Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
66%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
147Total filings over 4 yrs
6.28%Avg annual filing rate
9.0%Peak (2018)
52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2013 to 2018
Filings climbed 86% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.2%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
12.8%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laguna Oaks
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cape May Court House, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cape May County average of 6.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021100?
Census tract 34009021100 in the Laguna Oaks neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021100?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021100?
15.9% of residents in tract 34009021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,557.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 97th, minority 35th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021100 considered part of Laguna Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021100 fall within Laguna Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34009021100 compare to Cape May Court House overall?
Tract 34009021100 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cape May Court House at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cape May Court House; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.