The Heights Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

At $1,356 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Jersey City commands. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $45,280, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 30.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 486 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Housing insecurity runs 22.0% against 14.2% nationally. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hudson County average of 46.5%.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 9.0% of renter households.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.