Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally
Guttenberg Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34017015003 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,688
With a score of 8.4/10, tract 34017015003 in Guttenberg, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,688. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hudson County average of 46.5%.
Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units858
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$60,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guttenberg and the region
Centroid at 40.7941, -74.0075 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guttenberg scores 8.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,753 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guttenberg
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guttenberg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.4
How Guttenberg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.7%Food insecurity
- 20.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 29.3%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guttenberg
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $60,417 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 32.7% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017015003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015003?
Census tract 34017015003 in Guttenberg scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017015003?
Median gross rent is $1,753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015003?
14.5% of residents in tract 34017015003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,688.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 72th, minority 91th, housing 68th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 34017015003 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 34017015003 compare to Guttenberg overall?
Tract 34017015003 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Guttenberg at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guttenberg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 34017015003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Guttenberg
Top eight tracts in Guttenberg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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