Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Guttenberg Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34017015100 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,969
Census tract 34017015100 covers part of Guttenberg, NJ, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,969 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,105
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$70,511
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guttenberg and the region
Centroid at 40.7961, -74.0125 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guttenberg scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,766 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guttenberg
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guttenberg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.4
How Guttenberg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 174Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2016)
- 35Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.7%Food insecurity
- 19.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 29.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 34.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guttenberg
Cost burden runs 63% here against 46.5% across Hudson County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.2% against 11.3% nationally. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 174 filings here across 4 tracked years. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017015100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015100?
Census tract 34017015100 in Guttenberg scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017015100?
Median gross rent is $1,766/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015100?
17.8% of residents in tract 34017015100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,969.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 57th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017015100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017015100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.80% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34017015100 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34017015100 compare to Guttenberg overall?
Tract 34017015100 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Guttenberg at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guttenberg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34017015100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Guttenberg
Top eight tracts in Guttenberg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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