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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Concord Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flemington

Tract 34019011400 · Hunterdon County, NJ · pop 4,864 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 34019011400 runs through Concord Ridge in Flemington. With 4,864 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,578 a month while the average household earns $74,213 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 34% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$74,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Concord Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Flemington
Moderate
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 30 tracts In Hunterdon County
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#561 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flemington and the region

Centroid at 40.5086, -74.8599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Concord Ridge scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flemington
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,578 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flemington
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flemington
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flemington
6.1

How Concord Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Concord Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 011400Flemington: 6.86.8Flemingtonparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Concord Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Concord Ridge

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Flemington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hunterdon County average of 5.5 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34019011400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34019011400?

Census tract 34019011400 in the Concord Ridge neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34019011400?

Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34019011400?

11.9% of residents in tract 34019011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,864.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34019011400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 43th, minority 58th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 34019011400 considered part of Concord Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34019011400 fall within Concord Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34019011400 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34019011400 compare to Flemington overall?

Tract 34019011400 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Flemington at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flemington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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