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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Trenton

Tract 34021003601 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 3,926 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the Hillcrest area of Trenton, census tract 34021003601 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,260 a month against an average household income of $74,025 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 29% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,451
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$74,025

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hillcrest
Very Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#949 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Trenton and the region

Centroid at 40.2507, -74.7872 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hillcrest scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Trenton
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
5.0

How Hillcrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hillcrest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 003601Trenton: 8.28.2Trentonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 372Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak (2018)
  • 77Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340210036012013: 66 filings (11.74/100 renter HHs)2014: 71 filings (12.63/100 renter HHs)2015: 52 filings (9.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 45 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 61 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2018: 77 filings (13.12/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hillcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Trenton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mercer County average of 6.7 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021003601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003601?

Census tract 34021003601 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021003601?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003601?

12.4% of residents in tract 34021003601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,926.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 68th, minority 81th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 34021003601 considered part of Hillcrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003601 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003601?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 372 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021003601 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021003601 compare to Trenton overall?

Tract 34021003601 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Trenton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021003601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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