Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Menlo Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iselin
Tract 34023001419 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,189 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 34023001419 covers part of the Menlo Park area of Middlesex County, NJ, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 65%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,220
Renter share97.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$99,589
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Iselin and the region
Centroid at 40.5586, -74.3358 · click any tract to drill in
Why Menlo Park scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Iselin
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iselin
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iselin
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iselin
5.0
How Menlo Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Menlo Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 15.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Menlo Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,825 a month.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $99,589.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023001419
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023001419?
Census tract 34023001419 in the Menlo Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023001419?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023001419?
5.2% of residents in tract 34023001419 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,189.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023001419?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 25th, minority 86th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 34023001419 considered part of Menlo Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023001419 fall within Menlo Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34023001419 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34023001419 compare to Iselin overall?
Tract 34023001419 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Iselin at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iselin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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