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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Robinvale Eviction Risk: Lower , Metuchen

Tract 34023001903 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 34023001903 reflects conditions in the Robinvale neighborhood of Metuchen, New Jersey. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,694 a month while the average household earns $88,545 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 20% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$88,545

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Robinvale
Very High
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#1,154 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#49,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Metuchen and the region

Centroid at 40.5356, -74.3386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Robinvale scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Metuchen
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,694 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Metuchen
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Metuchen
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Metuchen
5.0

How Robinvale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Robinvale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 001903Metuchen: 7.67.6Metuchenparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2015)
  • 44Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Robinvale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Robinvale

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Metuchen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 44 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.8% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023001903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023001903?

Census tract 34023001903 in the Robinvale neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023001903?

Median gross rent is $1,694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023001903?

5.5% of residents in tract 34023001903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023001903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 90th, minority 72th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 34023001903 considered part of Robinvale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023001903 fall within Robinvale (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023001903?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023001903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.83% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023001903 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023001903 compare to Metuchen overall?

Tract 34023001903 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Metuchen at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Metuchen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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