Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Robinvale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Metuchen
Tract 34023001903 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 34023001903 in the Robinvale area of Middlesex County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,929 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$88,545
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Metuchen and the region
Centroid at 40.5356, -74.3386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Robinvale scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Metuchen
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,694 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Metuchen
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Metuchen
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Metuchen
5.0
How Robinvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2015)
- 44Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Robinvale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Robinvale
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 44 evictions over 1 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,694 a month. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $88,545.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023001903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023001903?
Census tract 34023001903 in the Robinvale neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023001903?
Median gross rent is $1,694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023001903?
5.5% of residents in tract 34023001903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023001903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 90th, minority 72th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 34023001903 considered part of Robinvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023001903 fall within Robinvale (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023001903?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023001903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.83% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023001903 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023001903 compare to Metuchen overall?
Tract 34023001903 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Metuchen at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Metuchen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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