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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Tottenville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Perth Amboy

Tract 34023004900 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,181 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 34023004900 covers the Tottenville neighborhood of Perth Amboy in New Jersey. Home to 5,181 residents, it scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 99% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,360 monthly, set against $53,116 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 32% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,445
Renter share71.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$53,116

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Tottenville
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Perth Amboy
Moderate
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Perth Amboy and the region

Centroid at 40.5073, -74.2664 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tottenville scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Perth Amboy
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,360 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Perth Amboy
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.3

How Tottenville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tottenville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 004900Perth Amboy: 8.38.3Perth Amboyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 262Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 15.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.6%Peak (2015)
  • 262Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tottenville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tottenville

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023004900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023004900?

Census tract 34023004900 in the Tottenville neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023004900?

Median gross rent is $1,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023004900?

17.3% of residents in tract 34023004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,181.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023004900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 34023004900 considered part of Tottenville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023004900 fall within Tottenville (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023004900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 262 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.57% of renter households, peaking at 15.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023004900 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023004900 compare to Perth Amboy overall?

Tract 34023004900 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Perth Amboy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Perth Amboy

Top eight tracts in Perth Amboy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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