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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Greentree Eviction Risk: Moderate , Spotswood

Tract 34023006701 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,709 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 34023006701 in the Greentree area of Middlesex County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$142,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Greentree
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,750 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Spotswood and the region

Centroid at 40.4160, -74.3834 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greentree scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Spotswood
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,745 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spotswood
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spotswood
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spotswood
5.0

How Greentree compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greentree risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0067014.6Spotswoodparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greentree. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greentree

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.

The voucher gap is 26.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.5 points below the Middlesex County average of 5.7. SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023006701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023006701?

Census tract 34023006701 in the Greentree neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023006701?

Median gross rent is $2,745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023006701?

1.9% of residents in tract 34023006701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,709.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023006701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 18th, minority 45th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 34023006701 considered part of Greentree?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023006701 fall within Greentree (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023006701?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023006701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.90% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023006701 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023006701 compare to Spotswood overall?

Tract 34023006701 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Spotswood at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spotswood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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