Census Tract · Ranked #15,005 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027040102 · Morris County, NJ · pop 6,715

Tract 34027040102 covers Lincoln Park in New Jersey. Home to 6,715 residents, it scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,994 a month against an average household income of $118,920 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units2,583

Renter share12.3%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate3.6%

Median income$118,920

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Park and the region

Centroid at 40.9065, -74.3000 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Park scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lincoln Park

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,994 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lincoln Park

4.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lincoln Park

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lincoln Park

3.5

How Lincoln Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

33Total filings over 2 yrs
5.38%Avg annual filing rate
7.5%Peak (2018)
23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.2%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Park

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027040102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027040102?

Census tract 34027040102 in Lincoln Park scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34027040102?

Median gross rent is $1,994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027040102?

3.6% of residents in tract 34027040102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,715.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027040102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 29th, minority 40th, housing 39th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027040102?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027040102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.38% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 34027040102 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34027040102 compare to Lincoln Park overall?

Tract 34027040102 scores 7/10, right in line with the parent city of Lincoln Park at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34027040102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln Park

Top eight tracts in Lincoln Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.