Neighborhood · Ranked #12,264 of 84,120 nationally

Town Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34027041902 · Morris County, NJ · pop 5,389 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34027041902 (the Town Village area of Morris, New Jersey) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #42,827 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 16% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,069 monthly, set against $162,596 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 5% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units1,957

Renter share6.2%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate2.0%

Median income$162,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morris County and the region

Centroid at 40.8122, -74.3805 · click any tract to drill in

Why Town Village scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

State baseline

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,069 rent vs county FMR

9.3

Rent control risk

State baseline

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

State baseline

4.0

Housing court bias

State baseline

5.0

How Town Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

5%Socioeconomic
28%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
4%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

7Total filings over 2 yrs
2.43%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak (2017)
2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Town Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.2%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
2.9%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
11.4%Frequent mental distress
20.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Town Village

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027041902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027041902?

Census tract 34027041902 in the Town Village neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34027041902?

Median gross rent is $3,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027041902?

2.0% of residents in tract 34027041902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,389.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027041902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 28th, minority 34th, housing 8th.

Is tract 34027041902 considered part of Town Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027041902 fall within Town Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027041902?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027041902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.43% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 34027041902 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 34027041902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.