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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Dublin Eviction Risk: Moderate , Morristown

Tract 34027043303 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,836 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 34027043303 sits in the Dublin area of Morris County, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Morris County average of 40.8%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,405
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$222,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Dublin
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,472 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Morristown and the region

Centroid at 40.7746, -74.4862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dublin scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Morristown
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,838 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morristown
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morristown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morristown
5.0

How Dublin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dublin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0433037.3Morristownparent city5.5Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2018)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dublin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dublin

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 32.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.1% against 17.8% nationally. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Court records carry 5 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Against the Morris County average of 5.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2018 at 2.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027043303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027043303?

Census tract 34027043303 in the Dublin neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027043303?

Median gross rent is $2,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027043303?

1.4% of residents in tract 34027043303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,836.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027043303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 9th, minority 36th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 34027043303 considered part of Dublin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027043303 fall within Dublin (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027043303?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027043303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.38% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34027043303 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34027043303 compare to Morristown overall?

Tract 34027043303 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Morristown at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morristown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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