Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Stone Water Eviction Risk: Elevated , Landing
Tract 34027045403 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34027045403 sits in the Stone Water area of Mount Arlington, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,584
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$96,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Landing and the region
Centroid at 40.9027, -74.6441 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stone Water scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Landing
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,475 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Landing
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Landing
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Landing
5.0
How Stone Water compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Stone Water. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stone Water
Cost burden runs 54% here against 40.8% across Morris County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. The voucher gap is 15.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Against the Morris County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,475, close to the Mount Arlington average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34027045403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027045403?
Census tract 34027045403 in the Stone Water neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34027045403?
Median gross rent is $2,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34027045403?
4.7% of residents in tract 34027045403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34027045403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 30th, minority 42th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 34027045403 considered part of Stone Water?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027045403 fall within Stone Water (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34027045403 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34027045403 compare to Landing overall?
Tract 34027045403 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Landing at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Landing; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Landing
Top eight tracts in Landing ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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