Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Lake Park
Tract 34029720204 ·
Ocean County, NJ · pop 5,794 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 34029720204 in the Oak Knoll area of Pine Lake Park, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,794. The severe-burden share is 58%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 7%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,050
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$87,653
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Oak Knoll
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Pine Lake Park
Very Low
Within county
60th percentile
#58 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Elevated
Within state
36th percentile
#1,385 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pine Lake Park and the region
Centroid at 39.9988, -74.2560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Knoll scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pine Lake Park
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,793 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Lake Park
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Lake Park
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Lake Park
6.7
How Oak Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
39%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
145Total filings over 6 yrs
7.03%Avg annual filing rate
13.7%Peak (2015)
20Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2013 to 2018
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.5%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
10.2%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Knoll
Against Ocean County at 50.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
The filing record is not thin: 145 evictions over 6 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 13.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. It tracks the Ocean County average of 5.0 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029720204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029720204?
Census tract 34029720204 in the Oak Knoll neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029720204?
Median gross rent is $1,793/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029720204?
7.7% of residents in tract 34029720204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029720204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 35th, minority 45th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 34029720204 considered part of Oak Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029720204 fall within Oak Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029720204?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 145 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029720204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.03% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029720204 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029720204 compare to Pine Lake Park overall?
Tract 34029720204 scores 5/10, right in line with the parent city of Pine Lake Park at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Lake Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pine Lake Park
Top eight tracts in Pine Lake Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.